Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (78-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 31 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Christian Laettner | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 42 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 41 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 38 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 21 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Smush Parker | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter