Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (103-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 42 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 39 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 37 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Williams * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Rafael Araujo | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Pape Sow | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 13-16 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter