Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -8 (98-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 37 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 18 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Christian Laettner | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 48 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 42 | 9-20 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 42 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 35 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter