Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (101-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 41 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 38 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 22 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Stacey Augmon * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Doug Christie | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Jones * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 25 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter