Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (92-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 38 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 38 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 35 | 4-16 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| James Posey * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Antonio Burks * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 2-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 38 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter