Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +2 (101-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 41 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 28 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 37 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 32 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 10-20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 24 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 25 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Christian Laettner | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Steven Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 40 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 36 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 36 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 21 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 17 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Delonte West * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter