Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (100-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 46 | 11-23 | 1-3 | 8-12 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 42 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 37 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Lucious Harris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Scott Williams | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 41 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 19 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter