Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -15 (96-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 39 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 7-20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 31 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Peterson * | 40 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 37 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 8-12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 34 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Rafael Araujo * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Williams * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Loren Woods | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter