Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (92-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 43 | 9-22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 39 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 38 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Lucious Harris * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eric Snow | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Anderson Varejao | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Scott Williams | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 32 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 27 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter