Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +19 (111-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 42 | 6-17 | 0-6 | 6-11 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 40 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 38 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 20 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jason Collier * | 20 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Obinna Ekezie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Donta Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
* = starter