Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -2 (107-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 10-21 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 43 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 40 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 3-13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 36 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Bibby * | 45 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 43 | 7-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Chris Webber * | 40 | 11-24 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Darius Songaila | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
* = starter