Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (117-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 40 | 13-23 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 36 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 33 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Mario Kasun * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Stacey Augmon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 40 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 6-20 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter