Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -7 (106-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 9-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 37 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 8-16 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 25 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Malik Allen | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Van Horn * | 47 | 10-14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 35 | 12-19 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mike James * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Santiago | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter