Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +19 (105-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes * | 42 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 41 | 8-21 | 2-9 | 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Steve Blake | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Laron Profit | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 24 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 22 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 11 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter