Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +25 (91-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasual Butler * | 40 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 35 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 40 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 39 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 30 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ronald Dupree | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darko Milicic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter