Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +23 (106-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 43 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 40 | 5-22 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 39 | 5-18 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Michael Ruffin | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Laron Profit | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 38 | 15-23 | 0-0 | 10-16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 36 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 37 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter