Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (109-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 12-24 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 39 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 38 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 28 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 32 | 10-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 10 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter