Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 12-18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 23 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 18 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 46 | 10-21 | 1-2 | 12-14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 20 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 43 | 6-19 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 41 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter