Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -6 (82-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 48 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 42 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 41 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 36 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 45 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 7-20 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 1 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 40 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 32 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Steven Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter