Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +10 (108-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 38 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Christian Laettner | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 42 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 41 | 3-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 40 | 11-17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jerome James * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter