Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 42 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 37 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ronald Dupree | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 43 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 23 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Christian Laettner | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter