Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -20 (82-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 7-22 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Christian Laettner | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 41 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 37 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Robert Traylor * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Eric Snow * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Lucious Harris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter