Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +19 (99-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Bogans * | 36 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 25 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cory Alexander * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Malik Allen | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Jones * | 28 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 28 | 11-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 23 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter