Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (105-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Fisher * | 43 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 41 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 40 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 38 | 9-22 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dale Davis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 5-18 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 0 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 37 | 13-22 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter