Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -12 (99-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damon Jones * | 38 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 15-21 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 30 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 11-15 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Qyntel Woods * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Nailon * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| JR Smith * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 24 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 24 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dan Dickau * | 21 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| David West * | 20 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jackson Vroman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter