Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +23 (113-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka Okafor * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-12 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 26 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 22 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Theron Smith * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jahidi White * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jason Kapono | 18 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 31 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 23 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 14 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter