Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +2 (93-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 46 | 13-24 | 0-1 | 12-15 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 29 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 46 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 45 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 42 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 42 | 10-23 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 40 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 40 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Harrison * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| James Jones * | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter