Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (96-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 41 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 44 | 12-26 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 11-19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 34 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter