Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (92-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 45 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 44 | 8-23 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 42 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 15-28 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 25 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 31 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter