Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✓ (35.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +39 (110-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Fizer * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 23 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 18 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Reece Gaines | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 31 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 26 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 26 | 10-12 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Steven Smith | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter