Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +10 (103-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 35 | 7-14 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 31 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 26 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 22 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 17 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Laron Profit | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Peter John Ramos | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasual Butler * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 31 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 28 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 20 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Keyon Dooling | 18 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Wesley Person | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter