Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (107-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Boozer * | 45 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 41 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 40 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 12-12 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 26 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Curtis Borchardt * | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Howard Eisley * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kirk Snyder * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 47 | 12-22 | 0-0 | 15-21 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 29 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 3-7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 38 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 2-10 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter