Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Damon Jones | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shandon Anderson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 39 | 12-19 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 30 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nene Hilario | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
* = starter