Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +10 (106-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 45 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 42 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 40 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 36 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 22 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darko Milicic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ronald Dupree | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter