Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (116-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Harrington * | 42 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 39 | 5-18 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 25 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 20 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jason Collier * | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 32 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 11-14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 30 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Christian Laettner | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
* = starter