Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -12 (106-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 11-16 | 1-1 | 14-16 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 35 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 26 | 9-12 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Michael Doleac | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Wesley Person | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 46 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 13-15 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 40 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 40 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 35 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Peeler | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter