Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | +7.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -6 (100-106). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 45 | 13-23 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 44 | 8-23 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 39 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Fred Jones * | 37 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Scot Pollard * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| James Jones * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Bender * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 43 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 43 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 43 | 11-27 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 42 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 36 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rasual Butler * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter