Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (104-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 44 | 10-26 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 13 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 38 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 16 | - |
| David Wesley * | 35 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 14-16 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 34 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Michael Doleac * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shandon Anderson * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter