Orlando Magic
2026 Team Stats (82 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1103 (#11) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1044 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1023 (#14) | HCA +40 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +1.1 (#16) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +1.5 (#16) | HCA +1.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.511 (#17) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.511 (#17) | NetEff +0.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.525 (#16) | AdjNet +0.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.525 (#16) | AdjNet +0.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.525 (#16) | AdjO 113.9 | AdjD 112.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.524 (#16) | AdjO 111.9 | AdjD 110.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.554 (#14) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.554 (#14) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1047 (#12) | RD 174 | GP 91 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Desmond Bane
|
G | 82 | 33.6 | 20.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 14.7 | 13.1 | 82 | 53 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 48.4 | 39.0 | 90.8 | 0.69 | 60.7 | 55.3 |
Anthony Black
|
G | 64 | 29.8 | 15.0 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 12.1 | 10.5 | 157 | 53 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 44.6 | 33.2 | 73.2 | 0.89 | 54.8 | 51.1 |
Jevon Carter
|
G | 30 | 20.4 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 6.8 | 5.1 | -180 | 24 | -7.5 | -16.2 | 40.2 | 33.6 | 55.6 | -1.98 | 51.7 | 51.5 |
Tyus Jones
|
G | 48 | 15.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 3.7 | -197 | 51 | -3.9 | -6.8 | 34.0 | 29.4 | 100.0 | -2.24 | 44.5 | 43.4 |
Alex Morales
|
- | 4 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 42.9 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 50.8 | 42.9 |
Jonathan Isaac
|
F | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -48 | 44 | -1.1 | -2.8 | - | - | - | -0.74 | - | - |
Wendell Carter Jr.
|
C | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 237 | 51 | 4.6 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 2.07 | - | - |
Moritz Wagner
|
F | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 40 | 13 | 3.1 | 10.7 | - | - | - | 0.42 | - | - |
Goga Bitadze
|
C | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | 42 | 0.2 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0.07 | - | - |
| Franz Wagner | SF | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 95 | 28 | 3.4 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 0.74 | - | - |
Jalen Suggs
|
G | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 196 | 33 | 5.9 | 5.9 | - | - | - | 2.06 | - | - |
Colin Castleton
|
C | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Paolo Banchero
|
F | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 43 | 0.9 | 0.8 | - | - | - | -0.86 | - | - |
Orlando Robinson
|
C | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -29 | 4 | -7.2 | -21.1 | - | - | - | -0.46 | - | - |
Jamal Cain
|
F | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 40 | 19 | 2.1 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 0.74 | - | - |
Jett Howard
|
G | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | 33 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | -0.96 | - | - |
Tristan da Silva
|
F | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 177 | 48 | 3.7 | 4.3 | - | - | - | 1.61 | - | - |
Jase Richardson
|
G | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 39 | 39 | 1.0 | 2.8 | - | - | - | -0.17 | - | - |
Noah Penda
|
F | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -33 | 38 | -0.9 | -2.0 | - | - | - | -0.9 | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
3839 located field-goal attempts in 43 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Desmond BaneAnthony BlackPaolo BancheroWendell Carter Jr.Tristan da Silva
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 823-1249 | 65.9 | 1646 | Desmond Bane 15% (248 pts) | Paolo Banchero 15% (242 pts) | Desmond Bane 20% (87 misses) | Paolo Banchero 14% (59 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 342-819 | 41.8 | 684 | Desmond Bane 20% (138 pts) | Paolo Banchero 15% (106 pts) | Paolo Banchero 18% (86 misses) | Desmond Bane 18% (85 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 62-149 | 41.6 | 124 | Paolo Banchero 19% (24 pts) | Desmond Bane 16% (20 pts) | Paolo Banchero 28% (24 misses) | Desmond Bane 18% (16 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 27-88 | 30.7 | 54 | Desmond Bane 30% (16 pts) | Paolo Banchero 26% (14 pts) | Paolo Banchero 23% (14 misses) | Anthony Black 18% (11 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 55-132 | 41.7 | 110 | Desmond Bane 25% (28 pts) | Paolo Banchero 24% (26 pts) | Desmond Bane 34% (26 misses) | Paolo Banchero 25% (19 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 99-221 | 44.8 | 297 | Tristan da Silva 18% (54 pts) | Anthony Black 17% (51 pts) | Anthony Black 16% (19 misses) | Desmond Bane 14% (17 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 69-174 | 39.7 | 207 | Tristan da Silva 19% (39 pts) | Anthony Black 14% (30 pts) | Wendell Carter Jr. 20% (21 misses) | Tristan da Silva 12% (13 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 133-400 | 33.2 | 399 | Anthony Black 16% (63 pts) | Desmond Bane 15% (60 pts) | Desmond Bane 18% (47 misses) | Anthony Black 13% (36 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 72-272 | 26.5 | 216 | Desmond Bane 24% (51 pts) | Wendell Carter Jr. 12% (27 pts) | Desmond Bane 16% (33 misses) | Wendell Carter Jr. 16% (32 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 108-335 | 32.2 | 324 | Desmond Bane 16% (51 pts) | Tristan da Silva 13% (42 pts) | Tristan da Silva 16% (36 misses) | Desmond Bane 14% (31 misses) |