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Orlando Magic

Also known as: Orlando Magic
Program History

2026 Team Stats (82 games)

115.7
PPG
115.1
Opp
+0.6
Margin
46.4%
FG%
34.3%
3P%
80.1%
FT%
43.4
RPG
26.5
APG
-
TO
-
Est. poss./game
113.9
Adj PPG
112.8
Adj Opp PPG
#16
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1103 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1044 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +40 elo More โ†’ 1023 (#14) HCA +40 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ +1.1 (#16) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.8 More โ†’ +1.5 (#16) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.511 (#17) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.4 More โ†’ 0.511 (#17) NetEff +0.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.9 More โ†’ 0.525 (#16) AdjNet +0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.9 More โ†’ 0.525 (#16) AdjNet +0.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 113.9 | AdjD 112.8 More โ†’ 0.525 (#16) AdjO 113.9 | AdjD 112.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 111.9 | AdjD 110.8 More โ†’ 0.524 (#16) AdjO 111.9 | AdjD 110.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.554 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.554 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 174 | GP 91 More โ†’ 1047 (#12) RD 174 | GP 91

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-10-22 vs Miami Heat W 125 - 121
2025-10-24 vs Atlanta Hawks L 107 - 111
2025-10-25 vs Chicago Bulls L 98 - 110
2025-10-27 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 124 - 136
2025-10-29 @ Detroit Pistons L 116 - 135
2025-10-30 @ Charlotte Hornets W 123 - 107
2025-11-01 @ Washington Wizards W 125 - 94
2025-11-05 @ Atlanta Hawks L 112 - 127
2025-11-08 vs Boston Celtics W 123 - 110
2025-11-09 vs Boston Celtics L 107 - 111
2025-11-11 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 115 - 112
2025-11-13 @ New York Knicks W 124 - 107
2025-11-15 vs Brooklyn Nets W 105 - 98
2025-11-17 @ Houston Rockets L 113 - 117
2025-11-19 vs Golden State Warriors W 121 - 113
2025-11-21 vs LA Clippers W 129 - 101
2025-11-22 vs New York Knicks W 133 - 121
2025-11-23 @ Boston Celtics L 129 - 138
2025-11-26 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 144 - 103
2025-11-29 @ Detroit Pistons W 112 - 109
2025-12-02 vs Chicago Bulls W 125 - 120
2025-12-04 vs San Antonio Spurs L 112 - 114
2025-12-06 vs Miami Heat W 106 - 105
2025-12-07 @ New York Knicks L 100 - 106
2025-12-09 vs Miami Heat W 117 - 108
2025-12-13 vs New York Knicks L 120 - 132
2025-12-19 @ Denver Nuggets L 115 - 126
2025-12-21 @ Utah Jazz W 128 - 127
2025-12-23 @ Golden State Warriors L 97 - 120
2025-12-24 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 110 - 106
2025-12-27 vs Charlotte Hornets L 105 - 120
2025-12-28 vs Denver Nuggets W 127 - 126
2025-12-30 @ Toronto Raptors L 106 - 107
2025-12-31 @ Indiana Pacers W 112 - 110
2026-01-03 @ Chicago Bulls L 114 - 121
2026-01-04 vs Indiana Pacers W 135 - 127
2026-01-07 @ Washington Wizards L 112 - 120
2026-01-08 @ Brooklyn Nets W 104 - 103
2026-01-10 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 91 - 103
2026-01-11 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 128 - 118
2026-01-15 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 118 - 111
2026-01-18 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 109 - 126
2026-01-23 vs Charlotte Hornets L 97 - 124
2026-01-25 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 105 - 119
2026-01-27 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 98 - 114
2026-01-29 @ Miami Heat W 133 - 124
2026-01-31 vs Toronto Raptors W 130 - 120
2026-02-02 @ San Antonio Spurs L 103 - 112
2026-02-04 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 92 - 128
2026-02-06 vs Brooklyn Nets W 118 - 98
2026-02-08 vs Utah Jazz W 120 - 117
2026-02-10 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 118 - 99
2026-02-12 vs Milwaukee Bucks L 108 - 116
2026-02-20 @ Sacramento Kings W 131 - 94
2026-02-21 @ Phoenix Suns L 110 - 113
2026-02-23 @ LA Clippers W 111 - 109
2026-02-25 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 110 - 109
2026-02-27 vs Houston Rockets L 108 - 113
2026-03-01 vs Detroit Pistons L 92 - 106
2026-03-04 vs Washington Wizards W 126 - 109
2026-03-06 vs Dallas Mavericks W 115 - 114
2026-03-07 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 119 - 92
2026-03-09 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 130 - 91
2026-03-11 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 128 - 122
2026-03-12 vs Washington Wizards W 136 - 131
2026-03-15 @ Miami Heat W 121 - 117
2026-03-16 @ Atlanta Hawks L 112 - 124
2026-03-17 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 108 - 113
2026-03-19 @ Charlotte Hornets L 111 - 130
2026-03-21 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 104 - 105
2026-03-23 vs Indiana Pacers L 126 - 128
2026-03-25 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 131 - 136
2026-03-26 vs Sacramento Kings W 121 - 117
2026-03-29 @ Toronto Raptors L 87 - 139
2026-03-31 vs Phoenix Suns W 115 - 111
2026-04-01 vs Atlanta Hawks L 101 - 130
2026-04-04 @ Dallas Mavericks W 138 - 127
2026-04-05 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 112 - 108
2026-04-06 vs Detroit Pistons W 123 - 107
2026-04-08 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 132 - 120
2026-04-11 @ Chicago Bulls W 127 - 103
2026-04-12 @ Boston Celtics L 108 - 113
2026-04-15 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 97 - 109
2026-04-17 vs Charlotte Hornets W 121 - 90
2026-04-19 @ Detroit Pistons W 112 - 101
2026-04-22 @ Detroit Pistons L 83 - 98
2026-04-25 vs Detroit Pistons W 113 - 105
2026-04-28 vs Detroit Pistons W 94 - 88
2026-04-29 @ Detroit Pistons L 109 - 116
2026-05-01 vs Detroit Pistons L 79 - 93
2026-05-03 @ Detroit Pistons L 94 - 116

2026 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Desmond Bane Desmond Bane G 82 33.6 20.1 4.1 4.1 1.0 0.5 2.0 14.7 13.1 82 53 1.5 1.3 48.4 39.0 90.8 0.69 60.7 55.3
Anthony Black Anthony Black G 64 29.8 15.0 3.8 3.7 1.4 0.7 2.1 12.1 10.5 157 53 3.0 2.7 44.6 33.2 73.2 0.89 54.8 51.1
Jevon Carter Jevon Carter G 30 20.4 7.2 2.1 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.8 6.8 5.1 -180 24 -7.5 -16.2 40.2 33.6 55.6 -1.98 51.7 51.5
Tyus Jones Tyus Jones G 48 15.7 3.0 1.1 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.3 3.3 3.7 -197 51 -3.9 -6.8 34.0 29.4 100.0 -2.24 44.5 43.4
Alex Morales Alex Morales - 4 5.9 2.0 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.8 1.0 - - - - 42.9 0.0 100.0 - 50.8 42.9
Jonathan Isaac Jonathan Isaac F - - - - - - - - - - -48 44 -1.1 -2.8 - - - -0.74 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. Wendell Carter Jr. C - - - - - - - - - - 237 51 4.6 4.5 - - - 2.07 - -
Moritz Wagner Moritz Wagner F - - - - - - - - - - 40 13 3.1 10.7 - - - 0.42 - -
Goga Bitadze Goga Bitadze C - - - - - - - - - - 8 42 0.2 0.3 - - - 0.07 - -
Franz Wagner SF - - - - - - - - - - 95 28 3.4 2.2 - - - 0.74 - -
Jalen Suggs Jalen Suggs G - - - - - - - - - - 196 33 5.9 5.9 - - - 2.06 - -
Colin Castleton Colin Castleton C - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Paolo Banchero Paolo Banchero F - - - - - - - - - - 37 43 0.9 0.8 - - - -0.86 - -
Orlando Robinson Orlando Robinson C - - - - - - - - - - -29 4 -7.2 -21.1 - - - -0.46 - -
Jamal Cain Jamal Cain F - - - - - - - - - - 40 19 2.1 9.0 - - - 0.74 - -
Jett Howard Jett Howard G - - - - - - - - - - 0 33 0.0 0.0 - - - -0.96 - -
Tristan da Silva Tristan da Silva F - - - - - - - - - - 177 48 3.7 4.3 - - - 1.61 - -
Jase Richardson Jase Richardson G - - - - - - - - - - 39 39 1.0 2.8 - - - -0.17 - -
Noah Penda Noah Penda F - - - - - - - - - - -33 38 -0.9 -2.0 - - - -0.9 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

3839 located field-goal attempts in 43 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Bane15% Bane20% Banchero19% Bane30% Bane25% Silva18% Silva19% Black16% Bane24% Bane16%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Bane20% Banchero18% Banchero28% Banchero23% Bane34% Black16% Carter20% Bane18% Bane16% Silva16%
Misses: who misses most here

Desmond BaneAnthony BlackPaolo BancheroWendell Carter Jr.Tristan da Silva

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 823-1249 65.9 1646 Desmond Bane 15% (248 pts) Paolo Banchero 15% (242 pts) Desmond Bane 20% (87 misses) Paolo Banchero 14% (59 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 342-819 41.8 684 Desmond Bane 20% (138 pts) Paolo Banchero 15% (106 pts) Paolo Banchero 18% (86 misses) Desmond Bane 18% (85 misses)
Mid-range left 62-149 41.6 124 Paolo Banchero 19% (24 pts) Desmond Bane 16% (20 pts) Paolo Banchero 28% (24 misses) Desmond Bane 18% (16 misses)
Mid-range center 27-88 30.7 54 Desmond Bane 30% (16 pts) Paolo Banchero 26% (14 pts) Paolo Banchero 23% (14 misses) Anthony Black 18% (11 misses)
Mid-range right 55-132 41.7 110 Desmond Bane 25% (28 pts) Paolo Banchero 24% (26 pts) Desmond Bane 34% (26 misses) Paolo Banchero 25% (19 misses)
Left corner 3 99-221 44.8 297 Tristan da Silva 18% (54 pts) Anthony Black 17% (51 pts) Anthony Black 16% (19 misses) Desmond Bane 14% (17 misses)
Right corner 3 69-174 39.7 207 Tristan da Silva 19% (39 pts) Anthony Black 14% (30 pts) Wendell Carter Jr. 20% (21 misses) Tristan da Silva 12% (13 misses)
Above-break 3 left 133-400 33.2 399 Anthony Black 16% (63 pts) Desmond Bane 15% (60 pts) Desmond Bane 18% (47 misses) Anthony Black 13% (36 misses)
Above-break 3 center 72-272 26.5 216 Desmond Bane 24% (51 pts) Wendell Carter Jr. 12% (27 pts) Desmond Bane 16% (33 misses) Wendell Carter Jr. 16% (32 misses)
Above-break 3 right 108-335 32.2 324 Desmond Bane 16% (51 pts) Tristan da Silva 13% (42 pts) Tristan da Silva 16% (36 misses) Desmond Bane 14% (31 misses)