Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +10 (130-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 13-23 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 19 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 15 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 40 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 9-11 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 39 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 14-14 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 11-15 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 34 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Noah Penda | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter