Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -7.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (110-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 34 | 12-21 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Suggs * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Tristan da Silva | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Noah Penda | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 13-13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 9-20 | 3-8 | 5-10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 30 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jay Huff * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith | 31 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Micah Potter | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 18 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter