Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (136-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 39 | 10-19 | 3-7 | 13-15 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 25 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Cain * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jevon Carter | 27 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jett Howard | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Noah Penda | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 37 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 14-22 | 3-7 | 11-11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 23 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Dean Wade * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Max Strus | 26 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Keon Ellis | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter