🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 64.9% 35.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.6% 56.4% -
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% -
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (113-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 46 11-28 0-2 4-4 14 8 0 4 6 26 18 -
Anthony Black * 44 4-12 0-5 2-2 4 4 1 1 2 10 6 -
Desmond Bane * 39 12-18 5-9 5-5 4 3 2 1 2 34 24 -
Tristan da Silva * 37 2-10 1-6 0-0 9 3 0 3 0 5 10 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 34 2-4 0-2 3-3 11 1 0 0 2 7 13 -
Jevon Carter 33 6-14 3-11 0-0 2 2 2 2 3 15 6 -
Jett Howard 18 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 2 0 0 1 -
Moritz Wagner 12 2-4 1-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Jonathan Isaac 8 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Goga Bitadze 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
Noah Penda 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Royce O'Neale * 45 2-10 2-9 0-0 7 4 2 2 1 6 10 -
Collin Gillespie * 44 6-17 3-10 4-5 5 6 1 0 1 19 13 -
Jalen Green * 36 6-26 2-11 2-6 7 5 3 0 1 16 4 -
Mark Williams * 28 4-10 0-0 1-1 9 1 0 0 1 9 8 -
Dillon Brooks * 7 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Grayson Allen 33 8-22 4-14 7-7 7 2 1 1 2 27 14 -
Oso Ighodaro 29 5-7 0-0 1-1 12 1 2 0 2 11 17 -
Jordan Goodwin 24 6-10 3-4 2-2 6 1 2 0 0 17 16 -
Ryan Dunn 22 1-4 1-3 0-2 7 0 0 1 0 3 7 -
Isaiah Livers 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jamaree Bouyea 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter