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2026-04-22

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +15 (98-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 34 7-17 0-2 4-8 6 8 1 1 4 18 13 -
Desmond Bane * 33 2-11 2-7 6-7 4 2 2 2 3 12 8 -
Jalen Suggs * 31 7-18 3-10 2-2 6 4 0 0 3 19 8 -
Franz Wagner * 31 4-11 0-2 4-4 7 1 4 0 2 12 11 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 23 1-6 0-2 1-2 5 0 1 2 0 3 5 -
Anthony Black 23 1-6 0-1 3-4 3 1 3 0 1 5 5 -
Goga Bitadze 21 0-0 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 2 2 3 10 -
Tristan da Silva 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
Jamal Cain 7 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
Jett Howard 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Jevon Carter 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jase Richardson 2 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Moritz Wagner 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Noah Penda 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 37 11-19 1-6 4-8 6 11 1 1 7 27 20 -
Tobias Harris * 32 7-17 0-3 2-2 11 1 2 2 1 16 14 -
Jalen Duren * 31 4-10 0-0 3-5 9 4 1 0 3 11 12 -
Duncan Robinson * 31 3-9 3-8 1-2 6 3 2 1 2 10 11 -
Ausar Thompson * 27 5-9 0-0 1-2 8 1 2 1 2 11 12 -
Javonte Green 23 0-1 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 3 1 2 9 -
Isaiah Stewart 15 4-4 1-1 1-1 5 0 0 2 3 10 10 -
Caris LeVert 13 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Daniss Jenkins 11 2-7 0-2 0-2 2 2 0 1 1 4 1 -
Ronald Holland II 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Kevin Huerter 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
Paul Reed 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Marcus Sasser 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter