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2026-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 ✓ (48.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - ✓
Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.9% 51.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors +52 (139-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 29 3-14 0-5 3-4 5 3 0 0 5 9 -2 -
Desmond Bane * 26 5-10 2-4 5-6 3 2 0 0 3 17 9 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 25 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
Jalen Suggs * 25 5-11 2-6 1-1 4 5 1 1 5 13 8 -
Tristan da Silva * 24 4-9 1-5 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 12 6 -
Jevon Carter 24 3-8 1-5 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 7 3 -
Jett Howard 19 4-8 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 9 0 -
Jase Richardson 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
Noah Penda 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 3 4 -
Moritz Wagner 12 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Goga Bitadze 10 2-5 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
Jamal Cain 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 0 -8 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 28 9-14 2-2 3-5 5 15 3 0 2 23 30 -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 28 4-8 3-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 11 9 -
RJ Barrett * 26 8-14 0-4 8-8 3 3 3 0 1 24 18 -
Jakob Poeltl * 25 5-7 0-0 1-2 7 3 1 1 0 11 16 -
Jamal Shead * 23 4-5 0-0 4-4 2 10 3 0 0 12 22 -
Gradey Dick 23 5-11 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 11 2 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 21 8-13 2-4 1-1 4 0 3 0 3 19 10 -
A.J. Lawson 19 5-7 4-6 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 14 14 -
Alijah Martin 12 3-7 1-4 1-2 4 1 1 1 0 8 8 -
Jonathan Mogbo 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 0 0 2 10 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 4 5 -
Markelle Fultz 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Garrett Temple 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter