Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +8 (135-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 14-21 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 24 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 35 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 34 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Micah Potter * | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jay Huff | 17 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kam Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-5 | 7-9 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 12-17 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Anthony Black * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 8-10 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 28 | - |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Tristan da Silva * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jase Richardson | 26 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Goga Bitadze | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jett Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamal Cain | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter