Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | +11.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +8.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +7 (118-111). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 32 | 12-22 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 12 | -14.0 |
| Jock Landale * | 29 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Cedric Coward * | 27 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +6.0 |
| Cam Spencer * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | +7.5 |
| Jaylen Wells * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -21.6 |
| Santi Aldama | 30 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | -2.2 |
| GG Jackson | 22 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +20.9 |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -10.9 |
| John Konchar | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | +0.6 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -13.5 |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 29 | +13.0 |
| Anthony Black * | 35 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | +15.7 |
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +12.7 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +11.3 |
| Franz Wagner * | 26 | 6-16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Tristan da Silva | 21 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Noah Penda | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | -6.1 |
| Moritz Wagner | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Goga Bitadze | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -10.2 |
| Tyus Jones | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -12.7 |
* = starter