Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | -2.9 | ✗ (18.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -4.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +16 (123-107). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniss Jenkins * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | -23.0 |
| Jalen Duren * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -20.0 |
| Kevin Huerter * | 31 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | -15.9 |
| Ausar Thompson * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | -18.0 |
| Paul Reed * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -22.7 |
| Javonte Green | 27 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +2.9 |
| Ronald Holland II | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Marcus Sasser | 18 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Chaz Lanier | 15 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -9.6 |
| Tolu Smith | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +6.5 |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 24 | +23.0 |
| Jalen Suggs * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 24 | +30.8 |
| Tristan da Silva * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | +27.1 |
| Desmond Bane * | 32 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 16 | +18.2 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +29.1 |
| Goga Bitadze | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -10.8 |
| Jevon Carter | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Anthony Black | 15 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | -8.6 |
| Jamal Cain | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Jase Richardson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5.4 |
| Moritz Wagner | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Noah Penda | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
| Alex Morales | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Colin Castleton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
* = starter