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2026-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% -
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% -
Margin 69.2% 30.8% -4.4 (20.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% -
Efficiency 69.6% 30.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% -
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% -
Points Off/Def 54.1% 45.9% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +16 (123-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniss Jenkins * 33 6-11 1-3 5-5 2 7 1 0 5 18 12 -
Jalen Duren * 31 7-9 0-0 4-7 8 4 1 0 4 18 18 -
Kevin Huerter * 31 7-14 3-7 0-0 3 5 4 0 4 17 11 -
Ausar Thompson * 30 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 3 1 8 14 -
Paul Reed * 18 4-7 1-2 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 9 10 -
Javonte Green 27 6-13 3-8 2-3 7 2 3 2 1 17 17 -
Ronald Holland II 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 5 0 -
Marcus Sasser 18 2-8 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 5 1 -
Chaz Lanier 15 1-7 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -3 -
Tolu Smith 13 3-5 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 0 0 8 7 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 10-16 1-2 10-10 5 3 3 0 2 31 24 -
Tristan da Silva * 33 5-10 1-4 1-2 4 1 1 0 4 12 4 -
Jalen Suggs * 33 4-9 2-3 2-2 6 12 3 1 1 12 24 -
Desmond Bane * 32 9-17 4-7 3-5 3 1 2 3 1 25 16 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 18 2-4 1-2 7-8 3 3 1 0 1 12 14 -
Goga Bitadze 24 4-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 3 2 9 10 -
Jevon Carter 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 3 3 1 1 0 7 -
Anthony Black 15 4-11 1-4 5-7 1 2 2 0 2 14 6 -
Jamal Cain 11 1-1 1-1 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
Jase Richardson 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Moritz Wagner 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
Colin Castleton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Alex Morales 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Noah Penda 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter