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2026-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 76.7% 23.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% - ✓
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 ✓ (33.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.7% 41.3% - ✓
Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.6% 46.4% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -39 (91-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 30 6-12 1-3 5-5 5 9 4 0 3 18 21 -
Paolo Banchero * 29 12-16 3-6 6-9 5 3 0 1 1 33 25 -
Tristan da Silva * 27 2-5 1-3 0-0 6 5 1 0 1 5 11 -
Jalen Suggs * 23 7-9 3-3 3-3 3 2 2 0 5 20 13 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 21 3-6 0-1 3-4 5 2 2 1 1 9 12 -
Jett Howard 25 5-8 2-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 14 8 -
Jevon Carter 24 2-8 1-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
Noah Penda 23 2-5 1-3 3-4 7 4 2 0 0 8 16 -
Moritz Wagner 17 0-3 0-1 3-4 9 0 0 0 0 3 9 -
Goga Bitadze 8 3-4 0-1 1-4 5 2 0 0 1 7 9 -
Jamal Cain 8 3-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 4 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Green * 28 1-8 1-8 1-1 1 0 1 0 2 4 -4 -
Jericho Sims * 25 5-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 10 14 -
Ousmane Dieng * 24 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 1 1 2 5 -
Myles Turner * 22 1-6 1-3 0-2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -3 -
Ryan Rollins * 22 5-12 3-7 2-2 1 1 3 0 5 15 3 -
Bobby Portis 27 7-11 4-5 0-1 10 3 1 1 1 18 21 -
Gary Trent Jr. 25 4-12 1-9 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 -1 -
Pete Nance 21 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 6 8 -
Cam Thomas 19 7-12 2-4 1-3 1 6 1 0 2 17 11 -
Andre Jackson Jr. 12 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 9 1-1 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 1 4 7 -

* = starter