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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% - βœ—
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 βœ— (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% - βœ—
Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 56.9% 43.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% - βœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -1 (109-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 12-22 2-6 10-11 10 6 0 0 4 36 26 -
Desmond Bane * 36 9-19 2-8 2-2 1 6 1 0 1 22 10 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 35 9-13 0-2 2-2 11 2 0 0 1 20 19 -
Tristan da Silva * 31 5-9 3-5 0-0 6 3 2 0 1 13 14 -
Anthony Black * 30 4-13 0-2 0-4 4 4 3 2 2 8 6 -
Jett Howard 20 1-5 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
Jevon Carter 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Jonathan Isaac 15 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 2 1 3 8 -
Moritz Wagner 10 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Jase Richardson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 37 8-24 2-10 4-9 9 15 0 1 2 22 21 -
Austin Reaves * 34 6-16 2-5 4-4 2 3 1 2 2 18 8 -
Deandre Ayton * 32 8-11 0-0 5-5 13 0 1 0 2 21 22 -
LeBron James * 31 8-13 2-6 3-4 6 4 0 2 5 21 15 -
Marcus Smart * 23 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 1 0 3 5 -
Rui Hachimura 26 4-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 2 1 0 10 6 -
Jake LaRavia 15 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Luke Kennard 14 3-4 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 4 -
Maxi Kleber 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter